Vail Resorts Valuation

MTN Stock  USD 142.86  0.40  0.28%   
At this time, the company appears to be undervalued. Vail Resorts has a current Real Value of $158.9 per share. The regular price of the company is $142.86. Our model measures the value of Vail Resorts from inspecting the company fundamentals such as Shares Outstanding of 35.78 M, operating margin of (0.79) %, and Return On Equity of 0.47 as well as reviewing its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting Vail Resorts' valuation include:
Price Book
30.7125
Enterprise Value
7.6 B
Enterprise Value Ebitda
8.8492
Price Sales
1.7159
Forward PE
18.4502
Undervalued
Today
142.86
Please note that Vail Resorts' price fluctuation is very steady at this time. Calculation of the real value of Vail Resorts is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Vail Resorts' time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
Since Vail Resorts is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Vail Stock. However, Vail Resorts' intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  142.86 Real  158.9 Target  174.18 Hype  143.75 Naive  142.22
The intrinsic value of Vail Resorts' stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Vail Resorts' stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
128.93
Downside
158.90
Real Value
161.19
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Vail Resorts helps investors to forecast how Vail stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Vail Resorts more accurately as focusing exclusively on Vail Resorts' fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates
LowProjectedHigh
10.2710.7511.49
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
141.46143.75146.04
Details
Potential
Annual Dividend
LowForecastedHigh
5.365.926.48
Details
12 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
158.51174.18193.34
Details
Traditionally, analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use Vail Resorts' intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of Vail Resorts' financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against Vail Resorts' closest peers.

Vail Resorts Cash

531.65 Million

Vail Revenue by Product

Vail Resorts Total Value Analysis

Vail Resorts is now anticipated to have company total value of 7.64 B with market capitalization of 5.1 B, debt of 3.44 B, and cash on hands of 440.29 M. Please note that company total value may be misleading and is a subject to accounting gimmicks. We encourage investors to carefully check all of the Vail Resorts fundamentals before making security assessment based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
7.64 B
5.1 B
3.44 B
440.29 M

Vail Resorts Investor Information

About 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.0. Vail Resorts recorded earning per share (EPS) of 6.94. The entity last dividend was issued on the 30th of December 2025. The firm had 1:1 split on the 6th of November 2008. Based on the key indicators related to Vail Resorts' liquidity, profitability, solvency, and operating efficiency, Vail Resorts may be sliding down financialy. It has an above-average chance of going through some form of financial crunch next quarter.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Operating Profit Margin0.10.17
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Cash From Operating Activities670 M638.1 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Operating Income676.2 M644 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile

Vail Resorts Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Vail Resorts has an asset utilization ratio of 51.31 percent. This suggests that the Company is making $0.51 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Vail Resorts is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
 
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Interest Hikes

Vail Resorts Profitability Analysis

Based on Vail Resorts' profitability indicators, Vail Resorts may not be well positioned to generate adequate gross income at the present time. It has a very high chance of underperforming in March. Profitability indicators assess Vail Resorts' ability to earn profits and add value for shareholders.
 
Net Income  
First Reported
1996-04-30
Previous Quarter
-185.5 M
Current Value
-186.8 M
Quarterly Volatility
120.8 M
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
As of the 20th of February 2026, Gross Profit is likely to grow to about 1.5 B, while Pretax Profit Margin is likely to drop 0.07.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Gross Profit Margin0.230.39
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Net Profit Margin0.04690.085
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Operating Profit Margin0.10.17
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Pretax Profit Margin0.06770.12
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Return On Assets0.02280.0436
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Return On Equity0.620.59
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
For Vail Resorts profitability analysis, we use financial ratios and fundamental drivers that measure the ability of Vail Resorts to generate income relative to revenue, assets, operating costs, and current equity. These fundamental indicators attest to how well Vail Resorts utilizes its assets to generate profit and value for its shareholders. The profitability module also shows relationships between Vail Resorts's most relevant fundamental drivers. It provides multiple suggestions of what could affect the performance of Vail Resorts over time as well as its relative position and ranking within its peers.

Vail Resorts Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual

The next projected EPS of Vail Resorts is estimated to be 10.7545 with future projections ranging from a low of 10.27 to a high of 11.49. Vail Resorts' most recent 12-month trailing earnings per share (EPS TTM) is at 6.94. Please be aware that the consensus of earnings estimates for Vail Resorts is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
Vail Resorts is projected to generate 10.7545 in earnings per share on the 30th of April 2026. Vail Resorts earnings estimates show analyst consensus about projected Vail Resorts EPS (Earning Per Share). It derives the highest and the lowest estimates based on Vail Resorts' historical volatility. Many public companies, such as Vail Resorts, manage the perception of their earnings on a regular basis to make sure that analyst estimates are accurate. Future earnings calculations are also an essential input when attempting to value a firm.

Vail Resorts Earnings Estimation Breakdown

The calculation of Vail Resorts' earning per share is based on the data from the past 12 consecutive months, used for reporting the company's financial figures. The next projected EPS of Vail Resorts is estimated to be 10.7545 with the future projection ranging from a low of 10.27 to a high of 11.49. Please be aware that this consensus of annual earnings estimates for Vail Resorts is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
Last Reported EPS
0.0
10.27
Lowest
Expected EPS
10.7545
11.49
Highest

Vail Resorts Earnings Projection Consensus

Suppose the current estimates of Vail Resorts' value are higher than the current market price of the Vail Resorts stock. In this case, investors may conclude that Vail Resorts is overpriced and will exhibit bullish sentiment. On the other hand, if the present value is lower than the stock price, analysts may conclude that the market undervalues the equity. These scenarios may suggest that the market is not as efficient as it should be at the estimation time, and Vail Resorts' stock will quickly adjusts to the new information provided by the consensus estimate.
Number of AnalystsHistorical AccuracyLast Reported EPSEstimated EPS for 30th of April 2026Current EPS (TTM)
1191.89%
0.0
10.7545
6.94

Vail Resorts Ownership Allocation

The majority of Vail Resorts outstanding shares are owned by institutional holders. These institutional investors are usually referred to as non-private investors looking to take positions in Vail Resorts to benefit from reduced commissions. Consequently, institutions are subject to a different set of regulations than regular investors in Vail Resorts. Please pay attention to any change in the institutional holdings of Vail Resorts as this could imply that something significant has changed or is about to change at the company.

Vail Resorts Profitability Analysis

The company reported the last year's revenue of 2.96 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 297.98 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 1.32 B.

Vail Resorts Past Distributions to stockholders

About Vail Resorts Valuation

We use absolute and relative valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Vail Resorts. In general, an absolute valuation paradigm, as applied to this company, attempts to find the value of Vail Resorts based exclusively on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. By analyzing Vail Resorts's financials, quarterly and monthly indicators, and their related drivers, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Vail Resorts's intrinsic value. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Vail Resorts. We calculate exposure to Vail Resorts's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Vail Resorts's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit1.5 B1.5 B
Pretax Profit Margin 0.12  0.07 
Operating Profit Margin 0.17  0.10 
Net Profit Margin 0.09  0.05 
Gross Profit Margin 0.39  0.23 

Vail Resorts Quarterly Retained Earnings

452.1 Million

Vail Resorts' stock price is the clearest measure of market expectations about its performance. Without stock valuation, investors cannot independently discern whether Vail Resorts' value is low or high relative to the company's performance and growth projections. Determining the market value of Vail Resorts can be done in different ways, such as multiplying its stock price by its outstanding shares.
A single share of Vail Resorts represents a small ownership stake in the entity. As a stockholder of Vail, your percentage of company ownership is determined by dividing the number of shares you own by the total number of shares outstanding and then multiplying that amount by 100. Owning stock in a company generally confers both corporate voting rights and income from any dividends paid to the stock owner.

Vail Resorts Dividends Analysis For Valuation

At this time, Vail Resorts' Dividends Paid is very stable compared to the past year. As of the 20th of February 2026, Dividend Yield is likely to grow to 0.06, while Dividend Payout Ratio is likely to drop 0.74. . At this time, Vail Resorts' Earnings Yield is very stable compared to the past year. As of the 20th of February 2026, Price Earnings Ratio is likely to grow to 32.19, while Retained Earnings are likely to drop about 431.4 M.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Dividends Paid377.4 M396.3 M
Dividend Yield 0.05  0.06 
Dividend Payout Ratio 1.05  0.74 
Dividend Paid And Capex Coverage Ratio 1.13  1.94 
There are various types of dividends Vail Resorts can pay to its shareholders, and the actual value of the dividend is determined on a per-share basis. It is to be paid equally to all of Vail shareholders on a specific date, known as the payable date. The cash dividend is the most common type of dividend payment - it is the payment of actual cash from Vail Resorts directly to its shareholders. There are other types of dividends that companies can issue, such as stock dividends or asset dividends. When Vail pays a dividend, it has no impact on its enterprise value. It does, however, lowers the Equity Value of Vail Resorts by the value of the dividends paid out.

Vail Resorts Growth Indicators

Growth stocks usually refer to those companies expected to grow sales and earnings faster than the market average. Growth stocks typically don't pay dividends, often look expensive, and usually trading at a high P/E ratio. Nevertheless, such valuations could be relatively cheap if the company continues to grow, which will drive the share price up. However, since most investors are paying a high price for a growth stock, based on expectations, if those expectations are not fully realized, growth stocks can see dramatic declines.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding37.2 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y0.105
Forward Price Earnings18.4502

Vail Resorts Current Valuation Indicators

Vail Resorts' valuation analysis is a process of estimating the intrinsic value of all assets and outstanding equities. There are different methodologies and models we use to develop the final Vail Resorts' valuation. The techniques such as discounted cash flow and fundamental indicators such as book value per share or market capitalization are well known and widely used across most financial advisers and money managers.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as Vail Resorts, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use Vail Resorts' valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes Vail Resorts' worth.
When determining whether Vail Resorts offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Vail Resorts' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Vail Resorts Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Vail Resorts Stock:
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Vail Resorts. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in persons.
To learn how to invest in Vail Stock, please use our How to Invest in Vail Resorts guide.
You can also try the Technical Analysis module to check basic technical indicators and analysis based on most latest market data.
Will Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure sector continue expanding? Could Vail diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Vail Resorts. Expected growth trajectory for Vail significantly influences the price investors are willing to assign. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Vail Resorts data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.105
Dividend Share
8.88
Earnings Share
6.94
Revenue Per Share
80.924
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.041
The market value of Vail Resorts is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Vail that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Vail Resorts' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Vail Resorts' true underlying value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Because Vail Resorts' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Vail Resorts' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Understanding that Vail Resorts' value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Vail Resorts represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Meanwhile, Vail Resorts' quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.